Valadares Gaia vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
34
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PEN
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
REB
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 0
ACD
91%
7%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
VSC
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REB
4 - 2
VSC
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 2
SAO
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |