Valadares Gaia vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REB
1 - 0
VAL
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALP
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
VAL
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAM
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
SAL
6%
13%
81%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
BMA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |