Valadares Gaia vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
5 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GON
1 - 4
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
ALV
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ESP
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAR
43%
29%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
LEC
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |