Valadares Gaia vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
VAL
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
3 - 2
CAM
17%
20%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 1
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +5 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 4
BMA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |