Valadares Gaia U19 vs Penafiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
5º
5º
24
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
VAL
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
ESP
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 1
VAL
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
LAM
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 5
NOG
55%
20%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
PAD
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
PEN
47%
21%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
FEI
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
LAM
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |