Val do Ulla vs Outes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
VAL
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
CRM
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SOF
2 - 3
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 4
SON
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
VAL
17%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
3 - 2
FLA
60%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SIG
3 - 4
OUT
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 0
MAL
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
OUT
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OUT
4 - 3
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |