V-Varen Nagasaki vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VEG
1 - 2
VVA
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
VVA
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
VVA
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
VVA
2 - 2
GRU
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 1
MON
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
FAG
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ZWE
0 - 3
ALB
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
REN
1 - 3
ALB
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 2
JEF
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
THE
0 - 2
ALB
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |