UVS vs HMSH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UVS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NIE
2 - 4
UVS
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UVS
1 - 4
MAG
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 3
UVS
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UVS
4 - 1
NIE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SJC
1 - 0
UVS
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 0
HMS
74%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 2
NIE
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
HMS
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 0
POO
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SCN
1 - 2
HMS
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |