Utrera vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
UTR
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
DHE
1 - 2
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
CAS
51%
25%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAM
2 - 0
UTR
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NER
0 - 3
UDM
26%
25%
50%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PIL
6 - 0
NER
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NER
1 - 4
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
4 - 0
NER
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NER
0 - 1
AGU
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |