Utrera vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SUE
0 - 2
UTR
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 2
UTR
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 1
CAS
41%
26%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LEB
0 - 2
UTR
31%
26%
44%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NER
1 - 1
MAI
44%
26%
29%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
JDB
2 - 4
NER
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NER
5 - 0
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PIL
2 - 2
NER
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NER
0 - 2
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |