Utrera vs Mosqueo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
CAB
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ADS
0 - 3
UTR
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
ARH
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 3
UTR
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
1 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mosqueo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASJ
1 - 3
MSQ
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MSQ
1 - 5
PEN
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 0
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BET
1 - 1
MSQ
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |