Utrera vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CDL
0 - 1
UTR
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 0
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 3
UTR
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 3
ESP
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CDL
2 - 2
UDM
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 1
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
UDM
22%
23%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UDM
0 - 3
CDP
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |