Utrera vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.3%
30.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
TOM
1 - 1
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
UTR
3 - 1
CDT
74%
18%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
UTR
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 1
TEL
55%
27%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
EST
48%
28%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
MEL
1 - 0
EST
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
MEL
4 - 1
SAN
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
BAL
1 - 0
MEL
40%
32%
28%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
CDB
0 - 0
MEL
54%
27%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
AGD
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |