Utrera vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 4
SAN
10%
20%
70%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 2
CIS
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 1
UTR
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CIU
0 - 1
UTR
22%
25%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
SEV
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUC
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUC
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |