Utrera vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
CDR
1 - 1
UTR
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
UTR
0 - 2
ARC
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
DHE
2 - 0
UTR
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 1
AYA
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
CCF
1 - 1
UTR
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
SFE
30%
28%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
BAL
32%
29%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
LUC
34%
30%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
UDT
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |