Utrera vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
UTR
2 - 1
CIS
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 1
CRD
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POZ
3 - 1
UTR
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UTR
3 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
XER
2 - 3
CDL
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 2
CDL
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CDL
5 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 1
CDL
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |