Utrera vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CRD
1 - 1
UTR
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 2
ALG
35%
26%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDG
1 - 2
UTR
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
UTR
2 - 0
XER
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LEB
1 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 0
CDL
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 1
ECI
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
CDL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CDL
3 - 1
CAD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |