Utrera vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
UTR
36%
26%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UTR
0 - 0
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
UTR
56%
23%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
LAV
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 0
CIU
76%
15%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDL
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDL
4 - 3
LAV
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |