Utrera vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 5
UTR
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UTR
0 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
OSU
0 - 3
UTR
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ATC
1 - 0
RUD
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATC
3 - 2
CAS
47%
25%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
ATC
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ATC
2 - 0
LAV
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 2
ATC
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |