Utrera vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
REC
3 - 1
UTR
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 3
CEU
64%
20%
15%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
XER
3 - 2
UTR
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 0
LEB
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDL
55%
23%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
ALC
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAD
28%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CEU
3 - 0
ALC
54%
23%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SRQ
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |