Utrecht U18 vs NAC Breda U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
2º
1º
23
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 5
UTR
27%
20%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UTR
4 - 0
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HRV
2 - 2
UTR
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPR
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 2
UTR
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 1
SPR
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EMM
3 - 5
NAC
72%
15%
12%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
20%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 3
HRV
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALM
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |