Utrecht U18 vs Ajax U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
5º
4º
31
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
4 - 2
THS
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 1
UTR
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PEZ
1 - 3
UTR
15%
17%
69%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UTR
3 - 1
HRV
77%
14%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SPR
3 - 4
AJA
29%
20%
51%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
5 - 1
PEZ
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 0
THS
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
THS
3 - 5
AJA
29%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |