UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
IAS
2 - 2
UTC
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
DCU
1 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALF
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
LOS
2 - 0
UTC
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 1
LOS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 2
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 0
AYA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 0
LOS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
IAS
1 - 1
SMA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |