UTC Cajamarca vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
3 - 0
MEL
28%
29%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
UTC
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 1
GAR
31%
27%
41%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
UTC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
COM
4 - 2
SRP
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
BIN
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
COM
4 - 2
HUA
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |