UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
UTC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 0
AUN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
3 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
2 - 1
GAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
SPC
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
4 - 1
GAR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SPC
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |