UTC Cajamarca vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
AYA
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
UTC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
3 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 2
AUR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAL
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 0
LEO
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
GAL
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |