UTC Cajamarca vs D. Curibamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ALF
3 - 0
UTC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 1
LOS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MUN
3 - 2
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
UTC
3 - 2
RAC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LOS
1 - 2
UTC
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
D. Curibamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DCU
1 - 0
DVM
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
AYA
1 - 0
DCU
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
DCU
0 - 0
IAS
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SMA
4 - 0
DCU
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ALF
2 - 0
DCU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |