UTC Cajamarca vs Villa del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
AYA
2 - 0
UTC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 1
SMA
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
IAS
2 - 2
UTC
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
DCU
1 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 1
LOS
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
DVM
0 - 2
LOS
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
AYA
2 - 0
DVM
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 2
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
IAS
2 - 0
DVM
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |