UTC Cajamarca vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACR
0 - 0
UTC
41%
24%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
UTC
7 - 0
ACR
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
UTC
4 - 0
SPP
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPP
0 - 0
UTC
11%
20%
69%
|
61 | 11 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
AAN
3 - 0
UTC
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALF
53%
22%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 0
SPO
30%
23%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 1
DCP
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DCP
1 - 0
ALF
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 0
SPO
20%
21%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |