UTA Arad vs Politehnica Iași analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
15º
11º
31
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
UTA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
UTA
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Iași
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 0
CSU
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 4
CSM
5%
13%
82%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HER
6 - 2
CSM
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
CSM
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
RAP
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |