UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
6º
7
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
7 | 50 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 49 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 47 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 45 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 41 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 41 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 39 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 37 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 35 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
47% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
UTA
1 - 0
ZEL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
VLZ
1 - 0
UTA
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
UTA
0 - 0
GLO
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
UTA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
UTA
2 - 0
PET
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
CSU
1 - 0
MTK
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BOH
3 - 3
CSU
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CSU
2 - 1
DBU
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
STB
1 - 0
CSU
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CSU
2 - 2
CLU
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |