Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 1-3
UT Cotopaxi vs Toreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
UTC
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UTC
13 - 0
CCV
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CCV
0 - 3
UTC
12%
20%
67%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 0
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UTC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
UTC
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
DAE
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DAE
1 - 0
TOR
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |