USV Hercules vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
EVV
2 - 1
USV
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
QUI
5 - 2
USV
30%
24%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
USV
2 - 4
GRO
9%
14%
77%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
USV
1 - 3
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 3
BEQ
49%
22%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
DEM
0 - 0
QUI
43%
22%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 3
BLA
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HBS
0 - 0
QUI
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
HSC
2 - 1
QUI
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |