USV Hercules vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USV
4 - 2
ADO
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USV
2 - 1
HSC
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USV
3 - 2
WES
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DON
1 - 0
USV
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
USV
3 - 0
LIE
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 1
GRO
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 3
OSS
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
DEM
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 2
BLA
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 1
OSS
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |