USV Hercules vs De Meern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
USV
2 - 1
PUR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 0
USV
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USV
3 - 1
DEK
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 2
USV
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
USV
1 - 0
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 2
JOS
40%
25%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PUR
0 - 2
DEM
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |