USV Hercules vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USV
2 - 4
HAR
61%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
USV
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
USV
2 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
GOE
2 - 4
USV
26%
22%
52%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 2
USV
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
HUI
1 - 2
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |