USV Hercules vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DET
2 - 3
USV
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GVV
3 - 0
USV
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
USV
1 - 0
GVV
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
IJS
0 - 5
USV
16%
20%
65%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
USV
6 - 0
IJS
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
ZWO
6%
13%
81%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BER
4 - 2
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 1
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
APE
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DET
2 - 1
BER
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |