USV Hercules vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
13%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 1
USV
34%
24%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
USV
2 - 1
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
USV
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
VVS
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
USV
15%
21%
64%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 2
ZWO
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
AEK
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
58%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |