USV Hercules vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KFC
4 - 1
USV
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
KAM
1 - 0
USV
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
USV
2 - 1
FCB
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
DWS
1 - 2
FCB
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DEK
3 - 2
DWS
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
DWS
2 - 1
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
VUC
2 - 0
DWS
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DWS
0 - 2
VVS
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |