Viagem Ústí nad Labem vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
4º
1º
36
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viagem Ústí nad Labem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
UST
22%
23%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MET
0 - 5
UST
13%
17%
71%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UST
5 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HKI
0 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UST
7 - 0
FCB
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
3 - 0
SOK
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 3
JBN
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 4
SOK
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |