Uster vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WID
5 - 0
UST
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UST
4 - 2
KRE
39%
22%
40%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UST
0 - 2
UZW
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
0 - 2
UST
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UST
4 - 1
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
UZW
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
3 - 2
WIL
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SIR
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 3
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 3
RUT
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |