Uster vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SEE
0 - 0
UST
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UST
1 - 0
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WID
5 - 0
UST
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UST
4 - 2
KRE
39%
22%
40%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UST
0 - 2
UZW
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
UZW
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
RUT
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |