USSA Vertou vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
2º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 3
USS
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USS
3 - 0
LAV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
USS
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
USS
3 - 3
LEM
62%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
1 - 2
USS
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
27%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
LRO
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
SPG
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
49%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 2
SPG
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |