USSA Vertou vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
81.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 1
USS
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
USS
3 - 0
SSA
73%
18%
10%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VIE
2 - 1
USS
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
USS
2 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
COG
2 - 1
USS
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LYO
0 - 0
ETG
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
AAC
1 - 1
ETG
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
ETG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |