USSA Vertou vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+132%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
10º
43
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 1
USS
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
USS
2 - 2
NAN
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
USS
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
USS
2 - 2
FON
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAB
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 1
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |