USSA Vertou vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
3º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 1
USS
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
USS
2 - 2
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 1
USS
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 1
NIO
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
ACG
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |