USSA Vertou U19 vs Châteauroux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
14º
13º
26
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 2
VER
61%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VER
2 - 3
LOR
20%
20%
61%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
VER
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VER
2 - 1
NAN
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +5 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANG
3 - 4
CHA
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |