Usom Calcio vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usom Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 0
PAN
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
USO
1 - 2
MED
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
USO
87%
10%
4%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
USO
1 - 1
LOC
12%
18%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
USO
2 - 1
BOR
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
MON
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAS
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOR
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |