Usom Calcio vs Chieve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usom Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
USO
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
USO
0 - 6
SPO
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
USO
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
USO
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
USO
2 - 1
PIE
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Chieve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 2
CHI
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIE
62%
20%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAS
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOC
2 - 2
CHI
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |