USM Saran U19 vs Montfermeil U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
47
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DKQ
1 - 0
SRA
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SRA
3 - 2
PSG
4%
9%
87%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +5 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SRA
0 - 8
PSG
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DKQ
4 - 2
SRA
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SRA
1 - 0
ORL
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
VAL
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
5 - 3
LIL
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
EVR
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |